Qualification scenarios · Qualification scenarios
Group I Qualification Scenarios: Who Can Advance at World Cup 2026?
Group I is complete: France and Norway took the automatic places and Senegal moved into the best-third-place comparison.
- Group
- Group I
- Matches recorded
- 6/6
- Automatic places
- Top two
- Bubble route
- Best third-place teams
Current Group I qualification table
| Rank | Team | Pts | GD | GF | Status | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 9 | 8 | 10 | Top-two place | 100% |
| 2 |  Norway | 6 | 1 | 8 | Top-two place | 100% |
| 3 |  Senegal | 3 | 2 | 8 | Third-place bubble | 100% |
| 4 |  Iraq | 0 | -11 | 1 | Needs results | 0% |
Team-by-team outlook
FranceFrance are currently ranked #1 in the group table with 100% model odds to reach the round of 32.
NorwayNorway are currently ranked #2 in the group table with 100% model odds to reach the round of 32.
SenegalSenegal are currently ranked #3 in the group table with 100% model odds to reach the round of 32.
IraqIraq are currently ranked #4 in the group table with 0% model odds to reach the round of 32.
Remaining group fixtures
No remaining group fixtures are open.
FAQ
Who qualifies from Group I at the 2026 World Cup?
The top two teams in Group I qualify automatically. The third-place team can also qualify if its record is one of the eight best third-place records across all twelve groups.
Can three teams qualify from Group I?
Yes. Group I can send three teams to the round of 32 if the third-place finisher ranks inside the best-third-place pool.
How are Group I ties decided?
Teams level on points are separated by goal difference, goals scored, head-to-head criteria, disciplinary record, and later tie-breakers under the tournament rules.