Qualification scenarios · Qualification scenarios

Group F Qualification Scenarios: Who Can Advance at World Cup 2026?

If Group F ended on the current table, Netherlands and Japan would hold the automatic places and Sweden would sit on the best-third-place bubble. The group is still best read as a scenario board until all six matches are complete.

Group: Group F
Matches recorded: 0/6
Automatic places: Top two
Bubble route: Best third-place teams

Current Group F qualification table

Rank	Team	Status	Odds
1	Netherlands	Top-two place	91%
2	Japan	Top-two place	78%
3	Sweden	Third-place bubble	54%
4	Tunisia	Needs results	45%

Team-by-team outlook

Netherlands

Netherlands are currently ranked #1 in the group table with 91% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Japan

Japan are currently ranked #2 in the group table with 78% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Sweden

Sweden are currently ranked #3 in the group table with 54% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Tunisia

Tunisia are currently ranked #4 in the group table with 45% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Remaining group fixtures

Match 10Netherlands vs JapanDallas, USA
Match 12Sweden vs TunisiaMonterrey, Mexico
Match 33Netherlands vs SwedenHouston, USA
Match 36Tunisia vs JapanMonterrey, Mexico
Match 57Tunisia vs NetherlandsKansas City, USA
Match 58Japan vs SwedenDallas, USA

FAQ

Who qualifies from Group F at the 2026 World Cup?

The top two teams in Group F qualify automatically. The third-place team can also qualify if its record is one of the eight best third-place records across all twelve groups.

Can three teams qualify from Group F?

Yes. Group F can send three teams to the round of 32 if the third-place finisher ranks inside the best-third-place pool.

How are Group F ties decided?

Teams level on points are separated by goal difference, goals scored, head-to-head criteria, disciplinary record, and later tie-breakers under the tournament rules.