Qualification scenarios · Qualification scenarios

Group D Qualification Scenarios: Who Can Advance at World Cup 2026?

Group D is complete: USA and Australia took the automatic places and Paraguay moved into the best-third-place comparison.

Group: Group D
Matches recorded: 6/6
Automatic places: Top two
Bubble route: Best third-place teams

Current Group D qualification table

Rank	Team	Pts	GD	GF	Status	Odds
1	USA	6	4	8	Top-two place	100%
2	Australia	4	0	2	Top-two place	100%
3	Paraguay	4	-2	2	Third-place bubble	100%
4	Turkiye	3	-2	3	Needs results	0%

Team-by-team outlook

USA

USA are currently ranked #1 in the group table with 100% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Australia

Australia are currently ranked #2 in the group table with 100% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Paraguay

Paraguay are currently ranked #3 in the group table with 100% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Turkiye

Turkiye are currently ranked #4 in the group table with 0% model odds to reach the round of 32.

Remaining group fixtures

No remaining group fixtures are open.

FAQ

Who qualifies from Group D at the 2026 World Cup?

The top two teams in Group D qualify automatically. The third-place team can also qualify if its record is one of the eight best third-place records across all twelve groups.

Can three teams qualify from Group D?

Yes. Group D can send three teams to the round of 32 if the third-place finisher ranks inside the best-third-place pool.

How are Group D ties decided?

Teams level on points are separated by goal difference, goals scored, head-to-head criteria, disciplinary record, and later tie-breakers under the tournament rules.